2011 Strategies:be Fault-finding
January 2, Sunday
January 2, Sunday. Christmas gifts have been opened before, New Year's Eve get-together of the past, regardless of success or failure of
Gucci outlet investment in 2010 has become history. After Christmas Blues has become the past, the face of the New Year Prediction.
Looking to do New Year is no meaning, for example, the market fell during the first half of 2010, June 11 rose, 11 fell again since October, the year the results of the Hang Seng Index rose only 5.3%. Well last year's investment strategy is to stock market speculation; this is the deal with QE2 sequela. Although interest rates so low, but the U.S. dollar has dropped from 4 November 2010 from the rebound, long-term debt interest rates are up again.
Hong Kong stocks of investment in the U.S. dollar like the fight the uphill war! U.S. dollar outlook change for the better reason than the U.S. but the European prospects turn bad; the other hand 10% drop against the yen last year, down 8% against the Australian dollar against the
Gucci sunglasses Singapore dollar fell 6.5%, down 5.5% against the Taiwan Dollar against the Euro rose by 8 %, up 2.4% against the pound sterling. U.S. long-term trend is still bearish, but by November 4, 2010 began the short-term recovery is estimated to be maintained until the second quarter of 2011. 2011, the United States has increased from 1200 to 1500 billion U.S. dollars debt (Bush tax rebate program has been extended.) As for the $ 1,400 gold after no longer see the direction of lifting this year, the estimated rate of about 10%.
January effect how? February 1906 the Dow peaked (103 points), November 1907 bottom (53), peaked in November 1909 (100.53), the in January 1910 Gucci bags fell 13.6%, see 85. March 1937 peak (194.4), March 1938 bottom (98.95), peaked in September 1939 (155.92), January 1940, down by 4.5% (146), January 1973 peak (1051.7) , December 1974 bottom (577.6), September 1976 peak (1014.79), January 1977 (see 970) fell 3.4%. This peaked in October 2007 (14163), March 2009 bottom (6547.05), December 2010 peak (11,573 points), January 2011, how?
Hang Seng Index by the November 18, 2009 23,099 points, down to the May 27, 2010 18,971 points, down 412.8 points back up to November 8, 2010 24 988 points to form a "V" shape. After the completion of V-shaped trend in the period of adjustment, such as defensible 23,099 points (Allow small error) hind city still can see further, on the contrary, such as 23,099 points shortly after
Gucci shoes the fall of a great opportunity to enter the leather, which is very likely that the Hang Seng Index in 2011 in 18971 points to 24,988 points on and off. 2009 is the era of large investment and blue chip, second-line stocks in 2010 is to invest time, as there were in 2011 if the investment strategy of splitting hairs, extremely difficult.
Note down great sights should bear hands.
First, sovereign debt crisis of the European Central Bank hopes to calm down. According to the current situation, the European swine in 2013, the five countries the crisis is still unresolved.
Second, the U.S. city of Detroit and Michigan face threat of bankruptcy, as well as Los Angeles, Miami, Oakland, Houston and San Diego. Will the U.S. muni bond crisis erupt in 2011 years?
Third, to October 2010 only, according to S & PO / Case-Shiller U.S. housing data, 18 of the 20 largest cities are still down. Of which 6 Atlanta, Shaluo Te, Miami, Portland, Seattle and Tampa also record low since 2006, it appears that from April 2009 to May 2010, after a rebound of 4.4%, non-exclusive 2011 double-dip recession in the U.S. prices.
Fourth, Australia and Canada real estate bubble will burst this year?
Fifth, the U.S. trade deficit started to improve the Chinese GDP growth rate in 2011, down (for example, only 7%), 2011, A shares made up it up. Baltic index has been since last June in the fall, the shipping industry on behalf of the Air light growth of world trade volume in 2011, oil prices rose enough to level the global slowdown in GDP growth, together with securities margin accounts within the liabilities have been re- back to September 2008 levels (many people who also borrowed money to stock.) are worrying signals.
The last time the U.S. economic boom started after the end of World War II, President Franklin D. Roosevelt took office in 1932 instead of the dollar devaluation and the adoption of Keynesian policies to stimulate the economy strong results. While the Dow rose to 41.22 from 1932 in February 1937 of 194 points, then dropped sharply again in April 1942 to 92 points, a double-dip recession.
March 2009 of the quantitative easing policy will produce the same results? Finally the economic strength and non-governmental economic ups and downs policy decisions. Economy run in cycles most things are usually always eighty-nine, any investment project start date tasted is earlier, as should endure in the fall of the hand, because of short selling can be done non-general retail good thing. Of things to use fundamental analysis, market timing; please use the trend, as with the trend in the general direction of the Investment Law.
Trading system should be simple, do not hope to capture every tiny wave. Missed an opportunity to be patient and wait for another lifetime of many people miss the opportunity to commit a big mistake but not so hard to hate the wrong back. After each adjustment of the stock market rose 50% to 61.5% is a very normal thing, if greater than the 61.5% rate reduction may be their own fault the Air City to re-assess the situation.
by: Guccioutlet1
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