Causes Of The Current Decline In Hog Prices
Pig production to see along the way, have maintained good momentum of development of booming sales
, prices of live pigs, pork prices, piglet prices, prices high, profits of large, long duration, the first time in history. Recent pig market began to fall, caused great concerns, which I talk about my views.
Market volatility is the inexorable law of development of market economy, the past two years driven by the pig-effective and pigs have been growing rapidly. First, a substantial shrinkage of pig rearing a recovery situation. Second, large-scale pig farming business and have expansion. Third, a large number of social capital to invest in pig breeding industry, has investment and planned investment in construction of large scale pig farms are the largest in history, the culture emerged around the new district has become a major force in the local live pig production. It is rare in previous years. Fourth, governments at all levels pay attention to support live pig production, such as the German city of Linyi Golden seize the gong and the Henan Shuanghui construction of large slaughter plants in the city of opportunity, to support the scale of pig farming, construction, assessment and recognition of pig cell as leaders at all levels indicators, so that German city's rapid development of pig production. Jining City issued preferential policies to support the scale of pig herds 2000 all new scale pig farm subsidies 100,000 yuan.
Pork for domestic consumption and exports this year are influenced. First, the occurrence of foot and mouth disease 1-8 months to make our province the number of fresh and frozen pork exports fell by 40.14%, Streptococcus suis type 2 infections were fatal events to some extent affected the domestic consumption of pork.
Henan, Jiangsu, Sichuan, Hunan province pig, by the end of March this year, hog prices fell to near four-year low, down 26.5% over the same period last year. This year our province's pork price has been higher than neighboring provinces of Henan and Shanghai this year the decrease in sales price with little difference in our province, most of the operators are transporting live pigs from Henan and Jiangsu provinces in transporting low price, so that our province into pigs reduction in the number of Shanghai.
Due to the number of pigs increased and exports, outposted, reduce consumption of the dual pressures, there has been the phenomenon of the present hog prices fell.
However, long term, I think the size of Shandong pig also is in a great period of development. Reasons: First, to reduce domestic consumption is temporary, demand is still growing year by year. In recent years, cities and small towns speed up the pace, relax "of Peasants" restrictions, the country has 13 million farmers each year to urban population every year vocational and technical secondary schools and private school enrollment of more than 600 million people, farmers diversified employment of migrant workers increases every year, has reached 120 million people, who by the pork producers into consumers. China is a country of consumption of pork, pork meat is the main food groups of the future increase in consumption is mainly accounted for more than 70% of the population of farmers, as China's "three rural" policy to further the implementation of the farmers living standards, First, the increase in consumer goods is pork meat. According to Feicheng Yinbao food company, the meat of rural towns in recent years the growth rate of food sales over the city. Annual per capita consumption of this group more than 1kg of pork, the province is 75 million kilograms, the equivalent of 1.2 million pigs. Need to build 120 million head of swine, the current development and the number far exceeds this. Second, free-range pigs recovery is temporary, slight fluctuations in the price immediately dropped, scattered households raising pigs gradually been replaced by a pig-scale development trend. Third, Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou and other cities restrict animal husbandry, such as Shanghai in pigs need to consume more than 1,000 million head, the number of city self-sufficient to reduce the five million to 2.5 million. Slaughter plants and Shanghai are to Henan, Jiangsu, Anhui, Shandong and other places to find building pig production base. Demand reduction is temporary. Fourth, export volume will increase as the country's emphasis on food safety of meat, and the implementation of the Quality Control system, meat quality will be improved greatly, with the export prices of pork inherent advantages, as long as the product quality compliance, in the international market is very competitive. 1-8 months of 2005, our province cooked pork products exports increased 41.42 percent over the same period last year, according to the needs of cooked pork products processing capacity in Shandong will be rapid growth rate of exports of pork products cooked even higher .
Pig sales market is broad and rich development of pig farmers is a good project. As long as the varieties of good quality and high technical level of feeding, good control of antibiotics, heavy metals, hormones, and the addition of clenbuterol to guarantee product quality, can be organized to focus on the outward redeployment, will surely get a better income. Pig profits two years ago, the current decline in pig prices is inevitable, and pigs were also expected to obtain normal profits, the only way to stability and development of pig production.
by: himfr
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