China Machine Tools Market Forecast 2009 Index - Machine Tools, Machine Tool Industry - Machinery
China in 2009 Machine tool Four indicators of market forecasts
, because of many factors of uncertainty, it is difficult to make accurate numerical prediction, just do a simple check on their movements.
1. Machine output
2008 9 months, the machine Pin Increase output showed a decline in sales accelerated month by month trend, and the new machine orders received decreased. There are reports that the end of 2008, general machine tools and Economy CNC machine tools 45% decline in orders for contracts, the high-end CNC machine tool orders declined about 15% of the contract. In early 2009, orders for machine tools company reserves decline, the contract is said to general can be maintained in hand about 6 months of production.
Situation from the user industries, although there are some bright spots needs to buy machines, but the first half of the machinery and automobile industry, the two major users of machine tools still lack the overall demand for energy, especially in Guangdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and other coastal areas of the outward enterprise is not much purchasing the machine will demand situation difficult to machine big turn for the better. In the second half with the national policy to stimulate economic growth effects appear gradually, the market demand for machine tools has been rebound, but the machine takes from order to delivery cycle. So on the whole, in 2009 the output value than a higher increase in heavy-duty machine, all machine sales volume growth will continue to decline, it might drop to 10% to 15% or even just single-digit growth, but the whole machine tool sales the probability of negative growth in output is relatively small.
2. Machine tool imports
2009 years of machine tool imports the amount of the increase is difficult to maintain the trend in 2008, due to the impact of the following factors will be less than last year: (1) domestic economic growth down, stand on the import of vehicles, vertical Lathe , Double-column vertical lathe machine tool demand fell, the government did not like last year issued discount on imported high-end machine tools to implement the policy; (2) abolished the import of foreign-invested enterprises in the machine super-national treatment tax; (3) domestic machine tool Enhanced ability to import substitution, while the world-renowned manufacturers set up factories in China more and more machine tools; (4) reduction of mechanical and electrical products processing trade orders, the natural import of machine tools for the processing trade are reduced accordingly. On the other hand should also be noted that countries in the field of high-end machine tool products and the quality of imported products in the performance gap does exist, and some species there is no domestic supply of goods, and in this world machine tool market downturn, overseas machine tool manufacturers will intensify the competition in the Chinese market. Integrate various elements of machine tools is estimated that in 2009 imports decline 20% range, the amount will remain at a high of more than six billion U.S. dollars.
by: gaga
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China Machine Tools Market Forecast 2009 Index - Machine Tools, Machine Tool Industry - Machinery Anaheim