Frbiz Reports In April 2010 Medicine Trend Forecast
The domestic market for Chinese medicines after the Spring Festival after several
rounds of momentum and poised to take off, coupled with the cold, snow and other incentives to ignite, at this stage drug market market as a whole "blowout", early accumulation of energy begins to release. Cold involved the medicinal species prices varying degrees of climbing, while the market bullish, but prices often oscillatory part of the hot varieties of round began an occasion to raise prices. But the blossom everywhere the result was caused concern and market forces dispersed, drug city "jungle law" began to play. How to view the current market boom? We think that is a combination of forces, but the most fundamental problem lies with medicine prices much lower than the value of operating result. In particular, since 1999 a 10-year drug market trough to the end of 2008 has a bottom, but when medicine production has a tremendous impact is extremely significant. Most home herbs species growing area for many years reduced the wild medicinal resources are depleted while the value has long been seriously underestimated. Medical supply chain source in early 2009 when the already extremely fragile, and sudden epidemic, policies to stimulate capital flows speed up other factors have greatly contributed to increased demand. The weak a strong real cause of domestic medicine market this wave of market the main reason. As for the current price rise is:
A cold front will influence this stage of drug market price of the outstanding factor in April early from northeast to central China an strong cold quickly cover the domestic most areas, but this cold front was affected more significantly concentrated in Shaanxi, Shanxi, Hebei, Henan and surrounding yellow prospective areas. Northeast has suffered decades of rare heavy snow hit, but Northeast has always belongs to low temperature, medicine production was relatively small; Jiangsu and Zhejiang area was significantly affected by temperature effects on crop growth and some impact, but the current investigation of view than Northern weak a lot. Related to medicinal species, the most pronounced difference is positive flowering of forsythia, cornus; followed by peach, almond, pepper, mountain flavors such as fruit seeds, Varieties; honeysuckle, Atractylodes even per Hu, Zhejiang Tony, also has information that had been cold impact, but the circumstances yet to be investigated.
Second, drug City market as a whole, "eruption" accumulation of power began to release in the cold concept of species, driven by the domestic medicine market as a whole higher. Number of pre-eager varieties round of successful price rapid uplift, large cargo transactions significantly faster, such as Yuan Hu, magnolia, Fritillaria, Coptis chinensis, Poria, Tianma, psoralen, etc.. But the operators should also note that part of the hot varieties have occasion to lift the suspicion, and even individual species will be taking advantage of the "out of storage"; the same time, the current round of market power in the quick release can also cause part of the supply and demand gap is not obvious varieties of the market outlook, the price of the oscillation or "stagflation."
Third, "jungle law" may result in market forces, decentralized "jungle law" itself refers to the nature of competition in the jungle, only the fittest survive, but here refers to the medicine market price in the "Big Tree" too much may cause the market stabilize. "Garden picking melons, select from blurred", a number of hot varieties Sing price situation though it can allow the operator and the participants more choice, will also result in drugs market funds, popularity and so on up the thrust forces dispersed. Especially the large variety of prices to market forces to attract the direct result of some small species although price-low or supply and demand gap significantly, but by the market attention, relatively low. Loranthaceae, Vaccaria, magnolia, white beans, Scrophulariaceae and other species should belong to this category; and "tree" between the competing shine will lead to "nutrient competition" problems in order to inhibit the "Big Tree" growth height. Grass fruit, safflower, March 7, berberine, peony, paeonol and other species are likely to face such a situation.
IV drug market experience periodic bottlenecks and popular medicine market price corresponds to, it is the domestic medicine market phased sale of "indigestion" problem, a variety of high-priced medicines are beginning to face consumption bottleneck. This is because the herbs too much price increase for the demand side are hard to adapt, purchasers began to wait and see one or more batches of a small-volume purchases; the other hand, some high-priced varieties, it has been on the consumer market adversely affected. Such as 37, honeysuckle, etc.. How to achieve a better price could become the next market participants should seriously consider, not only in the operators own hands shuffling back and forth.
by: heiyou
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