Grand National 2011 Horses - Become a Bet Thief ... at betthief.com
Grand National 2011 Horses - Become a Bet Thief ..
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Given the unique challenge that it presents to both horse and rider, it is not surprising that many people see the Grand National as a lottery. However, over the years some remarkably consistent statistical trends have emerged. Indeed, for reasons of weight, age, official rating and previous National experience, well over two-thirds of the field can normally be discounted when searching for the winner.
For example, horses who have yet to win over 3 miles (a basic requirement you would have thought for a potential Grand National winner) have not won the Grand National since Gay Trip in 1970. Around a quarter of the field in recent years had not won a race over at least that distance so it's easy to draw a line through them.
Equally, of the last 19 National winners, 17 had previously won over fences against 12 or more rivals. For example, 2009 100/1 winner Mon Mome won a 15-runner 3m 1?f handicap chase at Cheltenham the previous December and had also previously won a 14-runner handicap chase at Aintree. The two that failed this test were Bindaree, who had at least been third in a Welsh National, and Lord Gyllene, who had never raced against more than 10 rivals before showing up at Aintree.
It is worth noting that there are so many Grand National trends that it is more than likely that the winner is going to fall down on at least one, however the following key statistics provide us a starting point to begin whittling down 40 contenders to a small group of likely winners.
Don't Pust It won in 2010, Mon Mome in 2009, Comply or Die in 2008 and Silver Birch in 2007. All four were aged nine or ten.
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