Guangzhou Securities: machine tool industry is expected to achieve positive growth in the fourth quarter - machine tools, machine tool industry -

Guangzhou Securities: machine tool industry is expected to achieve positive growth in the fourth quarter - machine tools, machine tool industry -

Country Machine tool 2003 -2 008 years, the industry average annual growth rate of 26%, far higher than the GDP growth rate, China's machine tool industry shows tremendous room for growth. According to the China Machine Tool Industry Association predicts that this year growth rate of China's machine tool industry will be much higher than expected, China will become the world's third consecutive six-year machine tool 1 large consumer and importer. Expected annual output value of machine tools will reach 90 billion U.S. dollars, machine tool consumption is about 14.5 billion U.S. dollars, and domestic machine tool market share for the first time in 10 years to more than 50%.

1 ~ 8 months, in the stimulation of domestic demand, the machine tool industry bottomed out, monthly production data from the lowest point over the previous year narrowed to -9% -34%. However, profit indicators, 1 August machine tool industry is still a negative growth of total profit over the previous year, or even negative growth in the index in August increased, in sharp contrast with the output indicators, indicating the machine tool industry rebound is not solid. China's machine tool industry and fierce competition means lower prices in many enterprises to adopt competitive, giving a threat to corporate profits.

This year, China's machine tool exports continue to grow rapidly. 1 August, metal processing machine tool exports 1.047 billion U.S. dollars, up 44.79 percent. In the rapid export growth, China's machine tool imports are reduced. 1 to 8 months, China Machine Tools amount of 4.498 billion U.S. dollars of imports, down 4.97%. Since 2004, China's exports of metalworking machine tools has remained over 40% growth rate. Metal processing machine tool exports this year will reach 1.6 billion U.S. dollars, in particular CNC machine tools Exports will maintain rapid growth. China's machine tool imports this year are expected to maintain a steady state, the annual import volume is expected to 71 million.

Downstream from the machine tool industry, cars, machinery, machine tool industry and war industry is a major downstream industries, including automobile is the most important industry, accounting for 45% of the lower reaches of the machine tool industry is about. The first three quarters, the promotion of related policies, China's auto industry market blowout occurred, especially in August reached a record high auto production increased. Since the rise in vehicle production remained unchanged, the main raw material of steel production capacity excesses, in the fourth quarter upward pressure on steel prices lower, thus, the machine tool industry in the fourth quarter profit more space, this machine will be good corporate earnings. And last year's fourth quarter production base of lower machine tool industry, machine tool industry is expected to achieve positive growth in the fourth quarter is expected.

Under the "special plan for major machine tool industry" and "upscale CNC machine tools and basic manufacturing equipment major projects", the next few years, the machine tool industry to accelerate industrial upgrading will show the trend of product innovation in enterprises made more demands, those with strong R & D strength, technical strength of enterprises will benefit significantly.

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