Himfr.com Reports Our Foreign Trade Overall Stabilised But Unaccountable Warmer
Journalist visit Canton of 106 industries exhibiting companies and jiangsu
, guangdong province's delegation to export to understand, with steady weakening of various policy measures, China's trade further in the fourth quarter overall situation of present stabilised. But experts say, although the current situation in Canton, receiving orders but next year export situation is not optimistic. By 2010, China's export to the level of difficulty in 2008.
Prices fell
This trade situation in China
The first three quarters, the total import and export 15578 billion dollars, year-on-year drop 20.9%. Which exit 8467 billion, down by 21.3%, Import 7112 billion, down 20.4 per cent.
This, the institute of international trade and economic cooperation on expert thinks, the first China import and export scale is gradually enlarged, showing the year-on-year drop narrow, is expected to drop to fourth quarter import narrow year-on-year growth even. A combination of factors, expected throughout the year, China import and export drop will narrow to 20%.
But in the Canton fair understanding journalist in China, mainly export to big province this year will appear larger export negative growth.
Guangdong foreign economic and trade department deputy commissioner of ZhuZeNa said, although 11, 12 two months following a monthly export growth can be realized by exports, but about 13% decline, import and export to around 12%, Jiangsu delegation said, although the foreign trade situation improved, especially in September, but more than expected back situation, is expected to rise foundation weak exports around 20% drop.
But the concerned expert points out, should be more objectively treat foreign trade exports, especially the influence. Guangdong university of foreign studies center of international economy and trade, foreign experts think this feature is the price dropped significantly factors. By multiple factors, both at home and abroad in the first three quarters of export commodities prices fell, total import prices fell 17.5% 6.1 percent. The first three factors, eliminate price import and export decline were actually only 16.2% and 3.5%, can our country foreign trade industry in the global market share and competitive no fundamental reversal.
Next year, the export situation
Eased but unaccountable optimistic
The reporter interviewed our export machinery, textile, building materials, shoes, and hats etc representative enterprise, enterprise when the transaction is generally considered Canton is better than expected, but the situation is unutterable, warm, next year exports still huge pressure.
Haier group electric industry company ZhouYunJie senior vice President, said the company this year 1-10 months of 20.2 billion us dollars, the export of the Canton turnover reached $530 million, total keep better progressly. But considering the trade protectionism growth factors influence, export situation is not very optimistic.
Some companies also puts forward, emerging markets also export to become my main drive source. The new manager ZhouXu said in ceramics, although in South America, Africa and the Middle East, economic active effect is small, but the financial crisis and more focused on demand for products, price low end products, unfavorable I industry is very concerned about the brand construction and upgrade.
Guangdong foreign economic and trade department officials said, from the actual situation of guangdong province, is expected to import and export will be realized by 2010, but maintain positive growth in singly, Jiangsu delegation also said, along with the global economy and the import and export situation will change this year, plus a low base, import and export index, but it could well, is expected to import and export growth in the year to 5%.
The financial crisis
As our country foreign trade industry should be
In the future, the ministry of commerce minister Chen deming situation in Canton told reporters on foreign trade, the current total also stabilises, market rebounded signs, but not sure, unstable factors still more, we must be conscious of the mind. How to control the excess capacity, inflation risk factors, such foreign enterprises, industrial efficience competitive advantage, must be very careful.
He said, the foreign trade growth is expected next year, but should notice to maintain trade policies and RMB exchange rate stability, In the growth of export quality, more attention should be focused on the future work, the key to put on foreign trade import and export structure adjustment. To enhance the grade, improve quality, to change, and to ensure the growth mode of foreign trade in China in the international market share, not to rely more on product value to capture a high-end market, From the Angle of enterprises through technical innovation, reduce cost, improve quality and develop new products, and increase the brand competitiveness.
Experts believe China will be next year, emerging markets and foreign "going out" as a key growth. The experts said that although the institute of emerging and developing countries' trade continued rapid growth, but the proportion of the total scale in trade is not high, still developing space is very big still, our next year should be further implementation of market diversification strategy, and actively promote bilateral talks with changeable trade facilitation, promote the trade with emerging markets. On the other hand, should continue with the global market for investment, continue to promote enterprise "going out", but also because purchase resource acquisition international business sales network and channel, daily consumer brands, design and development agencies, grasp the initiative in the competition.
Also have experts point out that, focus on the future of 3-5 years, world trade is likely to accompany the whole world economy, China's vast speed adjustment period into the foreign trade industry must early. On one hand, the United States, Europe and other developed countries will absorb financial crisis, pay more attention to the entity economy, pay more attention to the development of manufacturing industry, and pay more attention to expand exports, consumer demand is restrained and competition will be more intense global manufacturing, On the other hand, due to the global glut contradiction, some of the industry reshuffle, big big reorganization is unavoidable, multinational companies under cost pressures will scatter productivity layout, the green economy, low carbon economy growing, the possibility of power in China should organize the analysis of these trends, through coordinate departments and relevant industry to promote the enterprise policy response early.
by: stefasuan
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Himfr.com Reports Our Foreign Trade Overall Stabilised But Unaccountable Warmer Anaheim