Is Pakistan a ‘black swan' lurking into the darkness of uncertainty?

Is Pakistan a black swan' lurking into the darkness of uncertainty

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Thanks to Nassim Nicholas Taleb for getting us to know the legacy behind the black swans, which unlike the white ones, move alone, for they in a most unpredictable manner pave their ways to destinations. Taleb originated the black swan theory to describe those events in history that are uncertain and unexpected to the point where they still when occur, likely move the world upside down. Financial crunches, unprecedented terrorist activities, losses that incur as a result of flooding, all can be listed into the black swan events, after which the authorities brag upon their concerns to which they could have been, and ought to be prevented.

Taleb, suggested us means to identify black swans, what he did not mention any concern about were the reasons for tagging black swans as pariah. This is what happened when U.S lured Pakistan into a trap that over a span of 20 years turned out to be war on terror'. From creating terrorists' to war on terrorism' is a long journey, having tremendous lessons to be learned, at least for Pakistan. At that time, when massive weaponry was churning in, loads of cash were siphoned off in the name of equipping militants', Pakistan was a white swan swimming in full swing along with two other white ones, India and America. Another white one that always has managed to maintain sincere friendly relations with Pakistan was somewhere lagging behind the group of these three. At that time, China was no where in the scene. Now the scenario is that despite trying hard to come up to the expectations of America, Pakistan is still a white swan lagging behind with the menace of terrorism. However, the good thing that has happened in the course of time is that it has learned some lessons, and is on the crossroads of becoming a black swan the one who never gives up whatsoever challenging are the circumstances, and whatever frustrating be the political turmoil. It never looses hope in times even when it knows that the worse has to come yet.

This black swan (likely to be) has no doubt put America's credibility at stake not because of the fact that it has not preceded unreasonable expectations of her, but because of the fact that it is not repeating the same old lineage of mistakes. Like, for example, despite the fact that Northern Pakistan has been put on a danger militant zone, witnessing bombardment every now and then on America's wish, the army is still on the edge to make some wise decisions, to which a Pakistani feel proud of. Opening schools for brainwashed militants is among such measures for which everyone is contended, at least the paramilitants who were months ago jobless, aimless, and valueless, after attending such schools are able to value themselves as a peace-loving human beings. Suicide bombers, who were more or less like living corpses have been able to think on their own. Now, they have come to realize the true meaning of life that they were not taught back there in their indoctrinated schools, schools that promised them a ruthless death in lieu of running down their personalities.

So, with hopes the future black swan will soon make her way out of the menace in which other swans has plunged her into, where she could rise in her own credible manners, and where she could never be capitalized on by being an easy victim for other swans and where she could recall the lesson of not trusting any other swan, whenever in the near future she is tried to be exploited. Let us lit some hope to end the war through peace.

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