Make As Many Weeks, The Plastic Comment: Needs To Resume Active Trading Market Rebound-pe, Pp,

Gradual rebound in the commodity market trends

, the current settlement of all varieties of exchange market Xianyihouyang, after a slight decline after the opening, with the demand to pick up, the fundamentals and gradually turn positive impact, business confidence is gradually restored most species began to rebound, led gradually boost market sentiment, turnover is also significantly enlarged over the previous period. Despite the current domestic CPI index high, rate hike expectations are not strong, with the financial department of a continued and stable policy does not withdraw the notice of the stimulation, strong commodity after another in the end, bring the settlement varieties Exchange quickly reversed, as of the end, plastic index was at 1031.9 points, Canton, was up 0.23 points over the previous period. Average daily turnover 4518 batch, 1112 batch increase over the previous period, reported that 4575 order granting final, approved over a period of growth in 381.

Calcium carbide PVC : Although the current calcium carbide process PVC in the downstream market demand, driven by a strong improvement in signs, but most varieties are still difficult to break through 7,500 area, the market price to do more in the lack of confidence, the operation is still cautious, but accompanied by improved fundamentals Most businesses one after another chase, to promote the market rebounded slightly later in the week, at the end, the settlement price to go to the 7395 variety? between 7,516 yuan, up 61 over the previous period? 135. View from the current trend of 7400 dollars? 7500 yuan pattern along the shock box shape, most varieties were in the beginning of 7400 yuan of 60-day moving average along the long-term support after more than 5 in the short-term moving average crossed the end of repression, but still above the pre-high pressure, especially the end of transactions have shrunk can also explain the long and unsatisfactory strength. In addition, the support that the market outlook, the average calcium carbide process PVC market with high potential impact early. From a fundamental perspective, the first drive in the upstream price stability, market demand was fully restored, Pearl River, Yangtze River Delta area downstream products, the operating rate was increased gradually, with the coming peak season, most have begun to keep stocks to be trading up, contributed to the recent market rebound a factor, but another factor is the price of raw materials has been basically stable, the current average price of calcium carbide in Northwest 2800 yuan / ton, South China in the 3400 yuan / ton, based on the current blue carbon mortar, and consider the cost of coal, calcium carbide price reduction was not much room, will maintain price stability upstream alkali enterprises. The judge based on the current state of fundamentals is expected to price adjustment in March, after last week's rebound in demand driven, early in April would start a wave of 100? Rally of about 200 yuan.

Ethylene PVC: With the oil price shock this week, ethylene PVC basic in the 7,500 or so current tight range, the weak order, merchants are more than watching the main market outlook, enthusiasm is not high, the market is not too multiple hot spots, as of the end, 6? September settlement price to go to the 7520 variety? between 7566 yuan over the previous period was up 0? 66 yuan, among which the new species listed in September were flat with the previous period, trading was light, basic With the recent Asian ethylene prices face the gradual improvement in market confidence is expected to be restored again, the relative price stability for the upper reaches of the market will have some positive impact. PVC ethylene market outlook is expected to adjust the end of a pickup.

LLDPE : This week the high international crude oil market is down trend. The decline was mainly restricted by the Greek sovereignty looming debt problems, the euro and the pound on the weaker dollar, the dollar strengthened to bring them down, as of last night's close, New York WTI reported 81.91 U.S. dollars / barrel, the weekend was up 0.21 U.S. dollars from last week . Trend of high and volatile international oil prices, naphtha and ethylene, and that has continued to offer a relatively stable interval in which. Cut-off last night's close, ethylene CFR Northeast Asia offer for the 1152 U.S. dollars / tons, up 12 U.S. dollars from last week over the weekend, CFR Southeast Asia quoted at 1,141 U.S. dollars / tons, called up 34 U.S. dollars last weekend. Stable and rising prices of raw materials and trading in the spot market sentiment improved varieties of both LLDPE market to rebound this week exchange, inside the atmosphere get warmer, popular re-accumulation, turnover also rose significantly. Directly to close the week, May -8 month contract fell 25-122 per month, in April and September contract rose 50 and 15 yuan closed at 11050-11755 yuan / ton. The downstream products, the March of this is the film's traditional production season, the film received significant orders for the general. Medium-sized parts has been shut down, because no follow-up-to-order. Overall operation rate gap continues to increase: large plastic film manufacturers maintain the high season, availability to remain at 70% -95% range, a big gap between small and medium plastic film factory operation rate, operation rate remained at 40% -60% range, and the other Some manufacturers Film Unit Shutdown. Lower order is less than the major negative factors, therefore, we estimate that half of the time this week, the market rebound is just a false fire, in the absence of downstream manufacturers to follow up the premise of the purchase, the market situation difficult to sustain higher prices. Upstream petrochemical manufacturers offer themselves have raised, Daqing Petrochemical, Jilin Petrochemical, Guangzhou Petrochemical, Maoming Petrochemical and in Oil Price Group in North China are up 100 yuan, the current mainstream DFDA-7042 offer at 11,300 yuan / ton and down. LLDPE market next week there will be opportunities to continue to shock rise.

by: gaga

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