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The Need for a Scientific (Pre)view of the Home Video Industry

The Need for a Scientific (Pre)view of the Home Video Industry


As a consumer, today, renting a movie has become a much more attractive proposition. I can order DVDs from Netflix and

keep them as long as I want without having to worry about paying extra charges if I could not return it on time. I can

stream a wide selection of movies online; or if there is a recently released one, which I can't stream, I can walk down to


the nearest grocery and pick it from Redbox at $1 a night or stream it On Demand' using my Time Warner cable

connection. The dramatic improvement in both the efficiency and effectiveness of rental DVD delivery not only puts a big

question on the future of the neighborhood DVD store, it also forces the studios to think about the implications on their

business model (after all for studios, a consumer buying a DVD is much more profitable than one renting it).

Traditionally, a big chunk of studio profits came from sales of DVDs. Hence, studios were hit especially hard by the

downturn in DVD sales following the 2008 financial crisis. In order to bolster profits, it is expected that there would be a

much higher focus on cost management (an area, which would not have got as much attention earlier because of the high

margin nature of the DVD sales business). This has implications both on the marketing outlay and the supply chain

management policies. In the long term, the crisis could adversely affect the home video business by accelerating the

transition from purchase behavior to rental behavior.

The evolution of the rental and video-on-demand business and the effects of the economic downturn are not the only

changes that the studios are trying to manage. They are also trying to figure out how to manage the transition from DVD to

Blu-Ray. Though Blu-Ray is a welcome technology for the home video business, in the transition phase, it poses several

operational and strategic challenges. How should retailers plan the evolution of their Blu-Ray versus DVD category

spacing? How can they manage the pricing evolution of Blu-Ray? What fraction of the overall production for a given title

will be Blu-Ray? How can the assortment with reduction in retail space for DVDs due to the growth of Blu-Ray be

managed?

The home video industry is indeed in a state of flux, and the historical steady-state assumptions that drove many of the

business decisions are no longer valid. Today, it is imperative for studios to constantly assess the changes in the

marketplace and figure out how to respond to these changes. In this journey, studios need an analytical partner that can

help them with quick and accurate insights across the entire value chain understanding consumer behavior; providing

strategic planning support; supporting retailer sales and category management initiatives; optimizing supply chain

management practices and aiding product design and marketing functions.


The psychographic nature of the movie business makes it analytically challenging. Every movie is unique. Understanding

how to deal with this uniqueness is critical to design effective analytical solutions for the business. WNS has proven

experience in understanding this uniqueness and incorporating it across the entire analytical value chain from basic

reporting to high-end modeling and business analytics.
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