Trading Talk Premier League Preview
Arsene Wengers Arsenal recovered well from two consecutive 3-0 defeats to beat Stoke
City at the weekend, while Liverpool, the Gunners opponents on Sunday, limped to a goalless draw with Blackburn. Spread buyers and sellers of Liverpools win index will remember Arsenals league cup win in October, but supremacy spread bettors should note that this fixture has ended level on each of the four last league meetings. In fact, as spread buyers of Liverpools supremacy may have already noticed, only two of the last seven Arsenal / Liverpool clashes in all competitions have produced a victor. Sellers of the total match goals spread might also like to know that four of the five draws finished one apiece.
The exception, as many followers of the Premier League will remember, was last Aprils incredible 4-4 draw at Anfield. Spread buyers of goal minutes in that match will hold the finest memories though, as seven of the eight goals were scored in the second half for a truly staggering 530 goal minutes spread make-up. Buyers of Andrei Arshavins goal minutes spread alone celebrated his total of 263 minutes the Russian forward scored all four of Arsenals goals. While they wont necessarily expect a repeat, Sporting Indexs football traders will certainly be more wary of another goal glut owing to the increased number of goals this season. However, we can see that Liverpool have scored 21 goals at Anfield compared to Arsenals 16 away (from one game less) and spread punters wishing to sell total goals can therefore work out Liverpools average of 1.4 goals a game at Anfield, and Arsenals 1.1 goal average away from home this season.
The other big game most likely to attract Sporting Indexs neutral punters is Saturdays evening kick-off which sees Aston Villa travel to Manchester Uniteds Old Trafford. This fixture has seen a number of goals in the last few seasons, with United winning 3-2, 4-0 and 3-1 on the last three occasions that they have hosted Villa. Buyers of Uniteds win index spread will be encouraged that you have to go back to 2002 for the last time Villa earned a point here but buyers of Villas win index spread will be even more dismayed that the West Midlands-based club has not won here since 1983. Those spread punters - and Martin ONeill - would dearly love to see 26 years of history upended this weekend.
Both teams have been fairly well behaved this season, with United averaging just 15.4 points at home on Sporting Indexs bookings index spread (10pts for a yellow card, 25pts for a red) while Villa have averaged just over two bookings. Sellers of the index spread on Saturday will be more impressed by the bookings history when these teams have taken to field together most recently. In the last four, no more than three bookings have been awarded in any match and the average spread make-up over the last 10 games is just 21 points.
by: Chris William
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