"Predicting the World Cup 2010 Winner"
"Predicting the World Cup 2010 Winner"
"Predicting the World Cup 2010 Winner"
What to expect that the economy has made predicting winners of World Cup? If you listen very Swiss bank UBS.
in 2006 World Cup, economists and analysts from UBS Wealth Management Research have used a statistical model that helps them to predict market trends and investment decisions, and are used to predict the winner of the World Cup.
They correctly predicted that Italy is the champion. I also managed to get six of the eight quarter finalists correctly. Their program also includes exactly three of the four semifinalists.
Forecast is a purely quantitative analysis models and criteria are the results of the previous home field advantage and the "power teams. Now lets discuss the model:
To return history, so far seven countries won a championship. (Brazil five times, four times in Italy, Germany, three times, twice to Argentina and Uruguay, France and England once.) This according to UBS, if you select one of these seven teams seems to be certain.
The advantage of NAS home, the third in recent World Cup has won the host country. Now:
# This is a warm winter in South Africa, and it seems that the host country can not benefit from the climate. This also applies to African countries in the final.
The # Some matches will be played at a high accuracy. This is a clear advantage of Home Teams in South America, including Brazil.
# If there is no speculation, the panel of arbitrators house. There are many controversial calls to help the customer?
# This is the World Cup in Africa, many people are wondering whether the African country have been placed before the group stage in the quarter-finals for the first time. Tournament is always a team that will surprise you. This team will be in Africa?
# And finally, it is not
World Cup means the patriotic fervor comes We all have passionate feelings of the team, or some, of course, who will decide our decision.
You are 32 teams in the finals, both technically and has 32 potential winners. It is interesting to some of the characteristics of these teams:
* Some teams just hit the Ministry of tons of firepower, but it's not all.
* Some teams have many talented players, but the line is crazy.
* Some of these are seen as perennial underachievers Spain and Britain that seem to choke on big stage.
* Some of the teams in the tournament as Germany and Italy, which may be omitted before the final, but he knows how to change the result. So this is the second occurrence in the past.
* experts, it is expected that Spain win the last two World Cup - never.
* England win every time in accordance with the British - but they never do.
and some interesting statistics:
# No team defended the toilet a bit "long. Italy had won the 2006 edition is an exception? But the Italian team of aging nor the last, too. It is easier to get started, but much more difficult for you there!
# time in the last 21 games and lost a toilet block at home, then South Africa is the surprise?
Why Spain win
approach to each guest heartbeat 46 matches, Spain arrived in South Africa, one of the best teams. They are the favorites to bring World Cup 11 July. Before, Brazil, in the eyes of bookmakers and experts.
Spain (Rank 1) will play in Group H Chile (paragraph 17), Switzerland (strain 1918) and Honduras (paragraph 38).
They media have been found in recent
A team has balanced the need for cohesion, that by participating in a tournament at a high level. See Argentina. Hope of the nation rests on the shoulders of young Messi. Messi, but not in the country, as he did at Barcelona, as the flights as midfielder Xavi and Iniesta is pulling the strings behind them. I will leave only the manager of Argentina.
The Spanish team just changed, the team won Euro 2008. They are together for years only to help us better understand this area. Spain now exude calm and confidence. Bring the crown of these things to you.
Injury
in Nof damage is a problem, but it is the same for each team. Torres and Fabregas was the game until the end of season due to injury. If you want to see the positive side, this may indeed be a blessing, that they are fully rested for MM.
Spain team is pretty deep on the stock exchange. I do not have one or two teams of people, such as the Ivory Coast Drogba.
injuries NIF is a good decision maker, the whole team suffers from Rooney in England, Lucio and Kaka of Brazil, Mexico and Argentina, the Netherlands, Sneijder, so serious injuries in a disaster team.
Pressure
Well nBeing classified as a hot favorite, the expectations are high. Spain crack under pressure?
Much got them 2-0 Confederations Cup semifinal in the United States in June last year. That ended their series of 35 games without a loss. Some said that Spain has delivered under pressure in this game, because he wanted to break Brazil won 35 games is not responsible for the loss. For many it is regarded as a significant weakness to bend to pressure.
many teams lose their games should earn. The most important thing is to draw conclusions loss. Personally, I think that Spaniards have learned a valuable lesson. Since then they have lost.
mental Force
Psychologists often said that half the battle is won in the head. Unfortunately, Spain unwanted tag necklace is a big stage permanent. In the past, when things get tough, they have disappeared.
But now all the players know that their worst enemy and created a more self-confidence.
Complacency
It is a great pleasure to threats such as Honduras, Chile and Switzerland. I am convinced that the experience of coach Del Bosque, the players clearly knew that his place in the second round is not a formality.
assur and overconfidence are divided into very thin line. The last thing you think that it has already won the match even before a ball was kicked.
Spain beat how
Some said that the way of how Spain is consistent with the Inter manager Jose Mourinho tactic succeeded where almost all of them the Champions League against Barcelona. Tactics are the players to defend deep in their half-absorbed against the pressure and rely on quick counter-attack, an attack on the result. Well, I do not know whether it would be different.
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