subject: Statistics is the Key to Victory [print this page] Statistics is the Key to Victory Statistics is the Key to Victory
Sports trading is a business. You are the businessman. You are the mind of the business. Assume that you have found a profitable tipping service and you gladly paid for it. Now, as part of the business, he definitely cannot reveal how he had gotten hold of the tips. This arrangement will continue until one point where he's so rich he can do the investing himself. Sounds familiar? In fact, this is resembled to investing with a fund manager in a fund. Only this time round the returns could be more. However, here you are the investor.
To be a businessman, you must beirreplaceable. If someone is your team in not up to standard, you can replace him and the business still continues. You must be the one that makes the business work. Can you replace the tipster?
Betting systems that sell well are shortlived. The edge of the system, if it proves valuable, will be quickly reflected into the market odds as time goes on. In simple, the market adjust. As an example, consider a simplelay thedraw before the matchsports trading strategy. Assume a goal is scored for the weak team against the strong teamearly inthe game. A goal shoulddecrease the chances of a draw, and therefore the odds of the draw should goup. In this case, it does not move much. Why? Because the market expects the strong team to be able to equalize the score.
Do not get me wrong; there is value in good betting systems. You will need to dismantle the system, find the few statistical factors that allow it to work, and modify it to your own. You must be the one that makes the system work. Statistics is therefore the key to victory.
Imagine this. The standard football trader uses the form guide provided by the bookmaker and make his analysis of the match. Using the data given, he may form deepinsights of thematch and use it for his trading. Guess what? These same insightsare also drawn by the bookmakers who have already "used" the data. Therefore to make it work, do yourresearch and find relationships within uncommon factors such asnumber of corners and total goals scored. Then you are a true businessman.
