subject: Optical Fiber Industry, Smiling At The News Of Copper - Fiber, Cable - Communications Industry [print this page] 1 km fiber prices in the vicinity of 90 yuan, lower than that of the same length of copper cable, optical fiber bandwidth potential is enormous
Copper up and maintain high, delighted not only copper smelting enterprises, optical fiber and cable industry are smiling at the news. With the rising price of copper and fiber prices fall, a "light of Copper" broadband speed strategy is being implemented, this is already warming the optical fiber and cable industry a robust and growing source of power. Experts expect an optical fiber and cable industry's market size will be 100 billion yuan.
Fiber warming In the winter after several years of industry, the optical fiber and cable industry started to recover since the second half of last year. Statistics show that basically the entire industry this year, a 20% growth rate. As China's IPTV, interactive entertainment multimedia services gradually somewhere, there are many provinces and cities nationwide broadband network transformation plans.
Ministry of operating conditions on the first half of the communications industry statistics show, Communications completed 85.67 billion yuan in fixed assets investment, up 9.1% from a year earlier. Among them, the telecommunications investment in fixed assets completed 84.87 billion yuan, up 9.1% over last year; new cable line length 272,000 km, to reach 4.322 million km; electronic information hundred enterprises reached 7.247 million km fiber sales, up 92%; cable sales 6.844 million km, an increase of 79.3%. Professionals are expected this year, carriers investment will grow 7% in 2005 over the second half of optical fiber and cable market will continue to optimistic.
Steady growth in demand Recently, the reporter learned from Shanghai Telecom, a "ray of Copper" broadband speed strategy is being implemented in Shanghai next year will be full forward. The so-called "Light of Copper" is the road between the district to replace copper cable, fiber optic cable to the users as possible will be close to the ultimate realization of FTTH. MAN in China, 3G, IPTV, FTTH gradually building, authorities have made the existing copper network broadband upgrade requirements. Furthermore, since copper prices still remain high, many factors have led a "ray of Copper" strategy introduced.
According to Shanghai Telecom's broadband upgrade plan, to the current rate of broadband minimum 512K raised to 8M, 15-fold increased rate of whole. According to the plan, this year is optimized for broadband access network transformation, effective from next year forward. To the "Eleventh Five-Year" period, broadband users will have the Ordinary 8M downstream bandwidth, high-end users can enjoy access to 20M downstream bandwidth.
Experts predict that around 2008, China's IPTV subscribers will nearly 8 million, according to "standard definition TV," the needs of each user's bandwidth is about 2M or so, if the next launched "HD TV" , each user needs 8M bandwidth. Users and bandwidth to increase with the results of a higher bandwidth requirements. In addition, the upcoming 3G network construction also requires cable support.
Experts point out that, although the 3G is wireless communications, network construction, but it has some correlation with the optical cable, which will eventually be implemented to further expansion of the fiber optic cable lines. According to optical fiber and cable industry association statistics, 3G brought about the increased demand for optical fiber core is about 300-500 million km / year, will drive demand for the next five years, optical fiber 18% -24% annual growth. It is estimated that this market will be more than 10 billion yuan.
Significant price advantage "Light of Copper" is the moment of the telecommunications industry generally and the practice of strategy, is considered the inevitable trend of future development. The industry believes that the advantages compared to fiber and copper mainly in low-cost and high bandwidth. Ping An Securities analyst Liu Jun
calculated that an account balance, to 1 km in length, 0.4 mm in diameter communication cable, for example, one pair of circuits using 2.237 kg of copper. 2004 copper price 20000 yuan / ton, 1 1 km of copper on the circuit cost of 45 yuan; in 2005 copper price is 3.3 yuan / ton, the copper cost 74 yuan. Recently, copper prices remained at around 60,000 yuan, which means that the same cost of copper has risen to more than 130 yuan. In other words, the 600 1 km of copper on the circuit up to 80,000 yuan cost. Copper prices have risen this year, up 80,000 yuan / ton level. From the bandwidth point of view, if the circuit 64K per ordinary fixed bandwidth, to calculate the basic 600 on the circuit to 38.4M. Even if the 600 pairs all use 1M for ADSL, the overall bandwidth is only 600M.
Compared with copper, the price of 1 km optical fiber is about 85 yuan -90 yuan, the price of copper has been lower than the cost of mileage. The total bandwidth of optical fiber a few hundred on the circuit can not be compared. With appropriate equipment as long as, single fiber bandwidth at least up to 155M level, generally up to 2.5G ~ 10G, up to 40G.
