subject: The First Quarter Of 2009, The Rapid Growth Of Fertilizer Production - Fertilizer, Phosphate [print this page] First quarter of 2009, China's agricultural nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium Chemical fertilizers (Off net) output to achieve rapid growth, to 1,502.54 tons, an increase of 10.57%. One single monthly increase in March large, reaching 6.2222 million tons, up 17.41%, much higher than the quarterly growth rate. March single monthly total quarterly output more than four percent.
09 in the first quarter, nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium three kinds of chemical fertilizers in N The yield reached 1,140.40 million tons, up 9.44%. In which a single month in March to reach 4,508,900 tons, an increase of 18.58%; accounting for a quarter of total production of 39.54 percent. The first quarter of urea (equivalent with N100%) production reached 6,966,600 tons, an increase of the relative 10.19% over the same period last year; in March accounted for a quarter of a single monthly output of 3.6 percent, reaching 2,480,200 tons, an increase of 12.99%.
Quarter P And K Production also have higher growth; P (off 100% of phosphorus pentoxide) and potash (potassium hydroxide off 100%) yields reached 3.252 million tons and 381,300 tons, growth rates reached 14.69% and 11.94%. From March of a single month view, P (off pentoxide 100%) the performance of normal, the output reached 1.4089 million tons, up 13.24%. Potash (potassium hydroxide off 100%) production is not normal, in March a single month reached 306,900 tons, up 19.76 percent year on year, accounting for a quarter of the total output of more than 8 percent.
Addition to the above fertilizer, ammonium phosphate fertilizer (physical quantity) is also substantially increase production, production reached 3,734,500 tons, an increase of 19.02 percent; March to change the growth rate reached 28.99 percent, the output reached 1.5468 million tons, accounting for the total quarter yield 4.1 percent.
From these data we can see that China's fertilizer industry maintained a good momentum of development. The investment adviser believes that China's export and domestic market and jointly promote the fertilizer industry. 2009 first quarter, while China's export volume has dropped, but the export amount is relatively large increase over the same period last year, growth rate of 43.1%. In the domestic market, the current international and domestic fertilizer prices are closer to direct subsidies for fertilizer recently launched domestic farmers, abolition of price controls and other preferential policies, so that the fertilizer industry to be relatively stable gross margin, cyclical will be significantly weakened; In addition, the population growth, food consumption, and crop prices lead to escalation of demand for fertilizers increased rigidity.
The long term, favorable long-term trend of domestic fertilizer prices, direct subsidies for farmers fertilizer policy is based on different subsidized fertilizer prices, the higher the subsidy on the price the more the lower the price to subsidize the less. The Government will no longer fear of fertilizer prices on the impact of income of farmers control fertilizer prices. Although the price gap between China and the U.S. and Europe is not fertilizer, but in August 2008 when the gap more than doubled, fertilizer prices due to U.S. and Europe Financial crisis Caused by the excessive price drop Financial The price after the crisis is bound to rebound, Kai will when the price of fertilizer rose rapidly. In addition, Southeast Asia, mainly used as fertilizer in China and the United States, the United States than in China's chemical fertilizer chemical fertilizer to the high transport costs in Southeast Asia more than doubled, with the reduction of fertilizer export duties occupy more favorable to the Southeast Asian market, Southeast Asia, the market price of fertilizer will form external demand stimulus.
