subject: Interest rates: what makes them go up and down [print this page] Interest rates: what makes them go up and down
Texas interest rates change daily, and sometimes, even hourly. Generally, changes are microscopic;usually there is only a slight change up or down in a given day. However, on eventful days, a 0.25% net change isn't too farfetched.
In the past few years,interest rates were artificially decreased by misleading economic indicators, including the false demand for mortgage backed securities (MBS's). The Federal Reserve had been buying the MBS's at auction, as opposed to outside sources investing in our economy, to help diminishthe bank and housing crisis. The Federal Reserve ceased their purchasing in Spring 2010 leaving the economy to adjust naturally in response to the usual factors.
This explains why many were indicating this was the best time to buy a home due to record lowmortgagerates forpurchase loans.
The interestrate you get when you close on a mortgage |is the result of the market adjusting in two areas: (1) the overall economiclandscapewhich sets the range of available interest rates and (2) yourownfinancial picture which determines where in that range you qualify.
Some of the deciding factors of the overall economic picture that set the range of available interest rates are:
supply and demand of specific bonds
stability or volatility of international economies
the stock market
housing sales and average number of days on market to sell
tax incentives and credits that will impact the demand for new mortgages
housing reports showing increased or decreased new construction
unemployment numbers
Each person's individual financial position determines where in that range you qualify. For a mortgage, we will look at your financial position at the moment you complete your application. This is made up of several key factors. Just a few of them are:
credit score and history
income
revolving and installment debt
income taxes and deductions
liquid assets and asset activity
the value of the home
the loan amount
the term and the type of loan you are applying for
the amount of equity or down payment on the home you are financing
If any market factors affecting interestrates are facingvolatilityat a given time, it will likely cause rates togo up. This uncertainty is considered "risk". Interest rates can be explained as nothing more than risk evaluators. A good rule of thumb is that the higher the risk for a given situation, the higher the interest rate. Just the same, if the scenario is less risky, the interest rate will be lower.
In today's market, there is a lot of risk due to high unemploymentpercentage, the housing market, uncertainty in Greece and Europe, demand for mortgage backed securities, the expiration of tax incentives on purchases, and tightened qualifying characteristics for individual clients.
Because the interest rates have been artificially reduced, we can make a safe assumption that rates will now increase. With a strong individual financial position, you will always qualify for the lowest rates in the available range. A quick study of any chart showinginterest rates over the past 30 years shows that rates can't do anything but go up. It has become habitual to wait for rates todecrease, and we are finally at a low enough point where it will soon become habitual to watch the rates climb.
Therefore, it is harder for some, but not all, people to lock in at a lower rate. That's why it is imperative to consult with a mortgage banker to determine your risk factor', and to watch Texas [mortgage | interest]rates closely. This way you can lock in at the lowest possible interest rate before it goes back up.
To check your rate, visit our Mortgage Rate Tracker
American Capital Home Loans. Experience Truth In Lending.
