subject: Economic Crisis: feed additives can only insist on the production - Additives [print this page] Economic Crisis: feed additives can only insist on the production - Additives
With melamine have in the milk powder, eggs were found, dairy and eggs have been the impact of the market, the author notes that the market in milk and eggs when growing warmer, but this unit shock to the industry chain is upstream??? feed industry spread. According to industry sources, the global financial crisis and the melamine incident on the feed industry, the impact and influence all aspects of the whole industry chain from raw materials, finished products, aquaculture, distributors and so the compression stock. Expected, the recent feed production and sales will again be reduced.
Market howling winter wind. "Our company produces dairy feed, the recent significant decline in market demand, the impact felt, than the same period last year sales volume down 30% to 40%." Agricultural animal husbandry, the new head of Guan Xiaowei said the company. Guan Xiaowei in Harbin ran a small feed production enterprises, mainly engaged in dairy cattle feed processing. He said the current dairy sluggish parts of the milk purchase price of less than 1 yuan per 500 grams, the enthusiasm of farmers feeding cows frustrated, and even slaughter of cattle there are signs of dairy farmers, so the market demand for dairy cattle feed, a sharp decline.
Originally belonging to feed in the season of November, Guan Xiaowei introduction, present the company's main products??? Concentrates not only the sales decline, prices are down. "Products from the early ~ 2900 yuan 2,800 yuan per ton dropped to 2,400 yuan per tonne recently ~ 2,500 yuan." Guan Xiaowei said.
Feed business slump further upstream transmission, feed raw materials??? Soybean meal, corn prices are down recently, weak demand. Tianqi agricultural futures industry researchers recently disclosed in Haifeng said: "Heilongjiang soybean prices also recently dropped areas, 3,100 yuan per ton ~ 3200 yuan adjustment, corn price at 1,450 yuan per ton, a downward trend." Analysis, said in Haifeng , soybean meal, corn fell mainly due to loss of support market demand. "Soybean meal accounts for the highest proportion of chicken feed ingredients, as by the recent melamine incident, chicken, egg prices depressed, poor farmers market, the demand on the natural decline in soybean meal. In addition, soybean, soybean oil prices fall to increase the initial level, Soybean meal prices are also linked down. "
Supply and demand are now shrinking this year, grain prices have been rising out of a pattern of soybean meal prices have also once driven forces in July to 4,800 yuan / ton of historical high feed prices subsequently soared. However, with the second half to the external economic environment, poor situation becomes clearer, the momentum of the major commodity markets is also an unusually feed market is not immune. Downstream industries because of the recent sharp product quality and safety issues, and further to the edge of aquaculture into recession, sandwiched between farming and aquaculture feed industry has entered a period of meager profit.
I was informed that the investigation, 10 months, prices continued to slow down domestic livestock, aquaculture and further compressed margins in some areas farm losses. Raw material prices fell by the impact of concentrated feed additive premix feed and fodder production and self-made increased use of feed production and sales declined sharply compared with September. Authorities deployed in 29 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) 168 statistics feed companies, animal feed production was 2.161 million tons, down 7.7%, decreased 11.8%. Compared with the same period last year, in October, poultry feed, aquatic feed, ruminant feed are significant decline, which dropped the most ruminant feed, 35.2%, only the pig feed and other feed increase. From a regional perspective, the output chain are decreasing, including 12 western provinces (excluding Tibet and Qinghai), decreased the most, 16.9%, followed by East 10 provinces, decreased 8.3%, the central six provinces, decreased 6.6%, Northeast 3 Province feed production, decreased 6.5%.
According to the China Feed Industry Association Information Center survey, the national feed on average 100 yuan per ton lower, concentrated feed, down 140 yuan per ton on average around; as feed additives, trace elements such as small price changes, additive pre- AM smaller mixed feed prices, down 38 yuan per ton. Guan Xiaowei, said recently the company has begun reducing production, but even if the product is very modest profit, maintaining existing customer relationships, maintain market share, the company can only insist on the production.
Market outlook is still low. In Guan Xiaowei view, the main feed industry as a whole downturn is shrinking downstream demand. He said in late October after the incident occurred melamine egg, egg volume and prices both fell, many of Egg and Poultry farmers are losing money, and confidence to deal with larger farmers Bulan. Although the milk production gradually restored, but the demand is still small, slaughter hog prices continue to decline, pig farming in general is no profit or loss. In addition, entering the fourth quarter, aquaculture into the off-season, a substantial decline in demand for aquaculture feed.