subject: The United States as the largest post-Kyoto climate agreement uncertainties - gas emissions, the United States - the environmental protection industry [print this page] The United States as the largest post-Kyoto climate agreement uncertainties - gas emissions, the United States - the environmental protection industry
The economic crisis sweeping the globe and the U.S. change of government in the backdrop, to participate in Poznan, Poland, the United Nations climate change negotiations could not help but worry that national representatives, whether in 2009 to reach a comprehensive new agreement to continue to respond to global change Warm.
A year ago, 190 countries agreed to postpone for two years, to hold consultations at the end of 2009 to reach a broad climate agreement. The reason why the agreement in 2009 as the deadline is to ensure the timely establishment of new emission reduction targets for countries in the world in 2012 "Kyoto Protocol" to approve a new agreement before the expiration.
But currently participating in Poznan negotiators and analysts generally agreed that this goal seems difficult to achieve. According to Reuters, the majority of the delegates can now hope is that the basic principles of an agreement next year, but there are a small number of representatives that such an attitude is too pessimistic.
Harvard University Business and Government Management, Robert? Steiner Vince (RobertStavins) Professor: "The correct attitude should be reached in Copenhagen next year looking forward to the basic principles of consultation, rather than determine the text of the agreement, which would be a major achievement. "He also said that the recession means that greenhouse gas emissions in developed countries next year, will drop two percentage points, it also makes mitigation actions become less urgent.
United Nations Deputy Secretary-General is responsible for climate change, Ivo? DeBord (YvodeBoer) insisted that developed countries must be reached in 2009 emission reduction targets by 2020, but he also said that no matter what kind of agreements should be to get "approval", "could well be left to future work the details of the text."
DeBord said the United States think tank last week, the Pew center, said those who believe that next year the newly elected President Obama signed a formal emissions reduction agreement in Copenhagen too hasty view is "unhelpful and wrong . " He said: "A year ago we launched the Bali negotiations, countries agreed to conclude the negotiations in Copenhagen, if we walk in the midst of solving the problem but wavering, it will be any good."
Although the United States greenhouse gas emissions in 2007 than in 1990, an increase of 17%, but Obama has promised to reduce emissions to 2020 levels in 1990, which is much more than President Bush to be ambitious. Bush was projected U.S. emissions will continue to grow, reaching a peak in 2025.
If Obama in the "Kyoto Protocol" under the requirements of implementation of emission reduction investments in developing countries such as the new measures, then it can do to increase mitigation efforts. Poznan talks, all parties look forward to Obama to avoid repeating the mistakes of President Clinton. In 1997 the Clinton administration signed the "Kyoto Protocol", but with his opposition to the U.S. Congress votes 95 votes to 0, an absolute majority against any climate agreement on the grounds that such agreements do not cover all countries, but also undermine the U.S. economy, Even today they still hold this view.
At Poznan meeting U.S. delegation Harlan? Watson (HarlanWatson) said: "We reached an agreement with the international community and then by Congress, but we can not control the end result." Some experts say that, regardless of How to make the U.S. Congress in December 2009 on the approval of any agreement are obviously too early. U.S. Republican Congressman James? (JamesSensenbrenner) external dialogue in Poznan, said: "I think, frankly, the new agreement must be applied to the world-wide, but not lead to a major blow to the U.S. economy, now U.S. economic conditions have been very bad. In my view, the U.S. economic recession now or will we eventually devastated. "
But the President of the Center for Clean Air Policy in Germany? Helmer (NedHelme) still believe that developed countries will be in Copenhagen on a new agreement on emission reduction targets. He said: "I think we can do to reduce emissions by developed countries in Copenhagen to establish a base figure.
