subject: Eight-year guarantee worry-free positive economic stimulus temporarily out of - Paul 8, GDP, economi [print this page] Eight-year guarantee worry-free positive economic stimulus temporarily out of - Paul 8, GDP, economi
The first three quarters China's GDP grew 7.7% in the third quarter grew 8.9% 22, National Bureau of Statistics data showed the first three quarters China's gross domestic product (GDP) 217817 billion, according to comparable prices, an increase of 7.7%, 0.6 percentage points than the first half of the speed, three-quarter GDP growth rate of 8.9%. National Bureau of Statistics spokesman Li Chao said that this year to achieve full year growth target of 8% without suspense. The experts expect the first quarter of next year, China's GDP growth rate may even reach 10%. Chief macroeconomic analyst at Everbright Securities, said Pan Xiangdong analysis, the first three quarters of economic data in line with expectations, the current economic recovery into the fast channel, expected future trend of economic recovery will continue, in the fourth quarter GDP growth will reach 9.5% - about 10% of the first quarter of next year's economic growth to about 10% -10.5%. National Information Center, a research fellow transgenic cotton analysts believe that fourth quarter GDP growth in China will exceed 9%, or even close to 10%. Upward trend will continue, but the acceleration may be reduced, unlike the second and third quarter as strong. Growth in Bulgaria has achieved some success in the case, the current implementation of a series of economic stimulus is to the exit point? This 21 State Council executive meeting clearly pointed out the need to continue to implement the proactive fiscal policy and loose monetary policy appropriately. Asian Development Bank senior economist Zhuang Jian believes that the proactive fiscal policy and loose monetary policy when the appropriate exit, there are two important reference: first, to achieve the potential growth rate of economic growth is sustained GDP 23-quarter growth rate of 9% in the year. Second, economic growth, inflation rate remained at 3%. As to these two indicators, expansionary policy can be restored to the neutral. Li Chao is clear that the State Council executive meeting can be expressed as "policy continued," but because the policy was emphasized to enhance the flexibility and sustainability, as the situation changes so will the policy be adjusted. Indeed, as economic recovery, the policy effects will be diluted. Pan Xiangdong that this year a series of measures to stimulate the economy, such as Home Appliances , Car Countryside, and real estate support policy effects will gradually weaken in the next year, next year's government investment, even if the intensity and the same year, but the base reason, can not be achieved with this same stimulus. "Dilution effect of this policy in the second quarter of next year's economic growth will be reflected." Therefore, Pan Xiangdong recommends that the Government's economic stimulus policy can not relax, and structural adjustment policies, the Government introduced measures should be vigorously to attract private investment, to "relay" government investment. Transgenic cotton also believes that the strength of money and credit in China next year may not be as strong as this year, but the policy direction will not change.
