subject: The Dairy Industry Prosperity Index In The Report (first Quarter Of 2009) [print this page] In by Dairy products Industry prosperity index shows that the first quarter of 2009, the national dairy industry early warning signs of resilience index, production, profits, taxes began to rise, practitioners stable and have increased. As China's macroeconomic increasingly warmer, the implementation of the policy measures and consumer confidence is gradually restored in the second quarter of China's dairy industry, the economy is expected to bottom out.
1, the overall sentiment index Climate index: better than expected 2009 first quarter, the dairy industry by climate index was 93.3 points (growth rate in 2005 = 100), down 1.3 points sequentially. By " Sanlu "Infant formula Milk powder Shocks and the impact of falling domestic demand, in the first quarter continued the dairy industry boom since 2007, the declining trend since the fourth quarter, but the decline in stable, in general, still better than expected.
Warning Index: begun to stabilize Composition by dairy industry in the climate index of six indicators (seasonally adjusted excluding seasonal factors and random factors) in the previous quarter, in addition to dairy industry, the total tax index rebounded slightly, the remaining 5 indicators have different levels of decline, the five indicators are: total profit index dairy industry, dairy industry sales index, index of dairy industry professionals, dairy industry and dairy industry investment in the export index index. From early warning by the dairy industry
index chart we can see that starting from the first quarter of 2008, dairy industry, warning index down quarter by quarter. To the first quarter of 2009, dairy industry, warning index 63.0 points, with the previous quarter, appeared to stabilize bottomed signs.
Warning light: stable Range under the early warning index divided by the dairy industry in the early warning indicators from the first quarter of 2008 from the normal economic operation, said the "green zone" that the economy fell to run colder periods of the "pale blue light zone", have been maintained at "Light Blue Light District", the first quarter of 2009 remained steady at the "Light Blue Light District" and "Blue Light District" near the critical point.
Warning light industry, dairy industry is run to reflect light in which the form of hot and cold regions. First quarter of 2009, warning lights for the dairy industry, light blue light, indicating that a quarter of dairy industry in the economic operation of the colder regions. Is noteworthy that, as early warning indicators dairy industry only 63.0, indicating that the dairy industry has been close to the cold economic operation "Blue Light District" marginal.
Second, production, business and investment conditions
Production: bottoming out 2009 first quarter, the composition of early warning indicators by the dairy industry of the 10 indicators (seasonally adjusted excluding seasonal factors and random factors), located in the "yellow zone" there are two indicators??? Dairy industry Dairy product price index and accounts receivable (reversed) index; in the "green zone" with a target??? dairy industry tax index; in the "light blue light area" have an index?? ? dairy industry fixed asset investment index; in the "blue light" zone of 6 indicators??? dairy industry production index, index of total exports of dairy industry, dairy industry, the number of employees index, dairy industry, total profit index , dairy industry and dairy products industry, sales of finished products index funds (reversed) index.
Present, more than 1,600 dairy enterprises in annual processing capacity of 55 million tons, raw milk production is about 37 million tons, while production of dairy industry is still not ideal, but is slowly picking up. Among them, the milk market has resumed nearly eight percent, affected more serious market liquid milk also resumed Liu Cheng.
2008 9 months, the "Sanlu" infant formula milk powder incident, the consumer-made infant formula and liquid milk consumption significantly reduced, seriously affect the domestic dairy production. Statistics show that in October 2008 the impact of dairy production suffered the most serious, down 1.2 million tons, down 28.8%; liquid dairy products 1,008,900 tons, down 32.5%.