subject: Who Will Win In The Final Tri Nations Game Between The All Blacks And The Wallabies? [print this page] Rugby Scores guest analyst Paul Quaglia called last week's close victory to the Wallabies at altitude correctly, we ask him if he is again making a bold prediction of a Wallabies victory after having picked the last nine losses against the All Blacks.
Rugby Scores: The All Blacks have made five changes, Dan Carter is out and the Crusader lads will be pumped and primed to raise morale of the country and especially the Christchurchians after the woes of the earthquake, can the Wallabies do it.
Paul Quaglia: Form and logic from an analytical perspective would say no. The All Blacks have been so precise and lethal in attack and defence. The gut though is saying that all good things must come to an end, in this case 9 straight victories and all but one game in the Tri Nations. The Sydney crowd and the emotional drain of the Kiwis because of the Earthquake are positives for the Wallabies. So too is coming off a magnificent confidence building victory at altitude, the first against the Boks since 1963. The Wallabies are fielding the same team except Lachy Murdoch comes in for Mitchell so the team will be sharp and combinations ready to go. The All Blacks will have to rise after a three week break.
Rugby Scores: The Wallabies lost two weeks ago squandering a massive lead, last Saturday they nearly squandered it again, indeed they did but this time they grabbed it back again at H Hour. Won't such frailties be exploited by the All Blacks meaning a Wallabies victory is as likely as meeting a politician on a public bus?
Paul Quaglia: and an honest politician at that I'm sure it would be too! Look the new rules and the excellent refereeing this Tri Nations means that momentum is everything. If you get the ball and make mistakes you will sustain pressure and if you don't hand the pill back and execute well you will score. So we have seen patches of one team scoring a sequence and then the opposition doing it. It is about momentum. What is really positive is the Wallabies ability to score points. If the Wallabies went down last week it would have been the usual negativity we saw the week before, 'chokers', 'no discipline', 'no courage', 'no unity' but with the victory comes a larger game to game momentum, it was what Eales developed so well so this week I sense another upset. Make no bones about it though, two games don't make an era, the
All Blacks are a much better team, they execute better, they have more hunger, they are technically superior but the Wallabies can upset them from time to time. The Wallabies have the attacking prowess and raw talent to spring upsets, I feel we will spring one on Saturday in Sydney and hopefully again in the World Cup Final next year.
Paul Quaglia
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Who Will Win In The Final Tri Nations Game Between The All Blacks And The Wallabies?
