Horse Racing Systems That Focus on Top Performing Jockeys Why They Should be Avoided

Horse Racing Systems That Focus on Top Performing Jockeys Why They Should be Avoided

To what extent does a good jockey affect the out come of a horse race, and should horse racing systems place an emphasis on this jockey when calculating its selectionsThere are a handful of jockeys that stand out from the rest as the top in their field, and many people follow them, hoping to cash in on their successes. Personally, I think this is not a good way to make your selections, and if you do so, it could seriously affect your betting bank.The details below run through the statistics of some of the top performing jockeys, and indicates how many points profit/ loss you would have made if you were to place your bets on them.2010P. Hanagan 1029 Runs 18% Percentage Wins -76.23 Points Profit R. Hughes 913 Runs 18% Percentage Wins -194.52 Points ProfitR. Moore 682 Runs 18% Percentage Wins-93.18 Points ProfitK. Fallon 697 Runs 18% Percentage Wins-53.51 Points ProfitF. Dettori 497 Runs 22% Percentage Wins-79.06 Points ProfitThere is no doubt, the abilities that these jockeys have is amazing. To achieve such great results as these is therefore, quite an achievement. The question that needs to be raised then is this. If the jockeys are so good, and their strike rate is so high, why have they all lost money throughout 2010? The answer to this question is the fact that the majority of the betting public love to back the horse with the best jockey on board, which in turn forces the odds to drop. The odds drop so heavily, that the price of the horse becomes lower than it should be, and is no longer a value bet. Bets that are not value can not win over the long term.Good jockeys are not only a punter magnet, but also a trainer magnet too. When a jockey goes on to have a successive win strike, the trainers go after them to get them to ride their horses. These horses are usually top rated horses that run in races where the prize money is very high. The jockey then goes on, after riding those horses, to get an even better percentage strike rate. The strike rate, therefore, can provide a misleading factor that it is the jockey that won the race, and not the horse.Far too much emphasis is placed upon the skill of the top rated jockey, and the number of punters that follow their favourite jockey and use that as their horse racing system strategy is staggering. This method of choosing a horse to bet on is poor methodology, because in actual fact, the jockey contributes only a small factor/ percentage to the result of the race. If you were to factor a percentage to the horse's ability and the jockeys ability to winning the race, you would probably see the following results: -The horse's contribution to winning the race would be in the region of 80%The jockey's contribution to winning the race would be in the region of 20%If you are using, or developing any horse racing systems, then you should not place too much emphasis on the jockey's percentage strike rate. By all means, use it as a factor, but not as a sole or governing factor. Remember, a lot of punters pile on their money on the horse with the top jockey which results in the horses odds reducing below what it should be. If you want to use the top jockeys strike rate percentage as a factor, then you might want to consider using it to find a value lay bet.This article has been written to help you understand about the jockey and the horse, and so that you can mould your horse racing systems strategy accordingly. Winning at race betting is not an easy thing to do on a long term basis, so it is good to learn about important factors and adjust your horse racing systems strategies.

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