Niu Wenyuan: China's economy will be the first to bottom out around October - China - office supplies industry

[ HC office supplies network ] "The Chinese economy suffered from the impact of all external, China's internal organs are healthy, but infected with some cold body." Recently, the first in Beijing to attend the Second Session of the CPPCC National Committee member of CPPCC, China Academy of Sciences, Institute of Policy and Management Academic Committee Deputy Director, Sustainable Development Strategy Team Leader, Niu Wenyuan, chief scientist on the international financial crisis on China's influence interview.

Three factors indicates that "Paul 8" target can be smoothly

Government work report for 2009 GDP growth of 8% of the target, members said he was optimistic about the cattle, which have full confidence. He believes that this can be evidence from three.

First, investment, consumption, export "troika" of power still.

Investment, the Government has made out a big one 4 trillion; consumption, contrary to the situation during the Spring Festival Gouxiaoliangwang foreign media's expectations, and the Western Christmas contrast desolate; export, companies do affected to some extent, but in turn, gave us another lesson is the need to enhance the competitiveness of enterprises, tuning the industrial structure, improve the technical content, to do this, you can control the impact of certain limits.

Cattle members believe that China's economic fundamentals have not changed, still in the upward stage of development, but also in the track of rapid development; while the West is beating a problem inside. Of course, certain Western influence in China by its implicate, but China's development of various internal elements are sound, which gives us complete the 8% GDP growth target to provide the most solid guarantee.

Second, the "two hands" combined strengths will be the world reference system.

Cattle members, some scholars blindly promoting the free economy of Western disapproval. He believed that the Western market economy itself has much to learn from places such as the allocation of resources and industrial structure optimization, enhance the sense of urgency through the competition, antitrust, etc., this time, the "invisible hand" is at work. However, if only the "invisible hand" to promote economic development, then it will go wrong. We can not copy the Western model, into the free economy, this myth, because that would not only lose control of China's economy, but also loss of control, the last bubble burst, caused serious landslides, on the economic blow caused by a beating. The U.S. is eating the loss, suffered heavy losses led to the economic. They are precisely the mistakes of recent years is excessive, one-sided emphasis on the free economy in stimulating economic development of the country's role.

Cattle members consider to be the market regulation and government supervision, guidance together, that is to let the "invisible hand" and the "visible hand" together.

In fact, China's economic management, particularly on the macro-control has never been complete acceptance of Western so-called free economy model of development has been committed "two hands" combination. Control measures from last year to this year's deployment, we have adopted the "visible hand" and the "invisible hand" combination approach, which is a complete system of guarantee of 8%. Through this international financial crisis, I believe the world will learn from this model.

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Niu Wenyuan: China's economy will be the first to bottom out around October - China - office supplies industry