The current one-year time deposit rate 2.25%
The current one-year time deposit rate 2.25%, far behind the increase in prices has
been going on for a few months of negative interest rates background, should the interest rate, for scholars is undeniable. However, the Monetary Committee, David pointed out that economic growth is good, the absolute level of liquidity are also sufficient. In this context, a slight increase in the interest rate is, he placed special emphasis on the interest rate refers to deposits, help our people build a price is expected to be stable, very necessary. Consumer prices in August (C PI) rose 3.5%, UBS Securities Chief Economist Wangtao believes that the next two months will also be maintained at 3.5%. Wangtao told reporters in the South are the year 2009, although the scale of the rapid expansion of credit, and this year
Replica Watches is also facing a certain amount of pressure on wages, but so far, the CPI growth of 70% still comes from the price of food. Food CPI weights approximately one third, but since the end of 2009 the rise in food prices, to a certain extent, the weather and the impact of natural disasters, in addition, some product price from the low bit of restorative. She expects the next two months of food possible output will be pushing up the price of food. At the same time, the Bank published August financial data according to the report, the credit growth downward.
The end of the month, broad money balance 68.75 billion, an increase of 19.2% increase compared to last month 1.6 percentage point lower than the same period last year 9.3 percentage; narrow money (M 1) balance 24.43 billion, an increase of 21.9% increase compared to last month, and year lows 1.0 and 5.8 percentage; the currency in circulation (M 0) balance 3.99 billion, an increase of 16.0%. Current month increase 5452 billion RMB loans, foreign currency loans increased 32 billion. 3% throughout the year at the explicit inflation target, managing inflation expectations of "conventional" include: controlling the growth of money supply, inflation targeting to improve the transparency of monetary policy. Wangtao believes that 2011, inflation Fake Watches would remain at the Centre of monetary policy, the credit scale will remain at 7 trillion to 7.5 trillion, broad money growth still need to be maintained at 16.5% to 17% of the area. If policymakers think China should be in the next few years to maintain the two-digit or close to two-digit growth rates, and it was this formulation of macroeconomic policies, in particular credit policies, from the demand side of the inflation pressure can be increased. CPI rose 3.5% one-year fixed deposit interest rate was only 2.25%, this means that customers will put some money into the Bank in fact suffered the loss. To some extent, this also means that China's depositors in subsidies to banks and borrowers. Start a new round of interest rate Rolex Watches cycle time has come to? State financial Director of the Research Institute for securities, Dr. van Jianjun told reporters that the South is the future trend in inflation is rising, the Central Bank's decision is whether the interest rate by the end of an important prerequisite. In his view the August CPI in line with expectations, the month of May 9 to the top, then gradually decline, as a whole may control in 3.1 percent. Unless inflation trends out of control, the years spent in the first half of 2011 and the interest rate increases the probability of "nuclear".
"CPI is higher than the deposit rates, resulting in a negative interest rates, price more insecure, so the interest rate increasingly urgent. China's current interest rate should be." Fan army said. Based on the residents deposits benefits, interest, why the voice of the Central Bank did not start a new round of interest rate cycle. Fudan financial and capital market research Center Director, Professor Xiebaisan explained: China is now the interest rate, interest rate can be 2.25%, inflation 3.5% belong to the obvious negative interest rates. If the interest rate is the interest rate 4.25%, one percentage point, it is very normal, all countries are very common. But the real estate market bubbles explode immediately, if you later mentioned 6%, the real estate market will collapse. Because the interest rate on deposits 6.25 to 4.25% or more, the interest rate will rise to 6.25 or 8.25%; the home and immediately got into serious trouble, thousands by 25-30 years of bank loans to buy housing a family you will immediately pay increase of mortgage interest, have been forced to stop the loan seller, the real estate Tiffany Jewelry market would collapse. However, the director of the Centre for Chinese banking guotianyong pointed out that in the US monetary policy in the context of the extraordinary relax, we take the asymmetry rate hike fine.
Guotianyong South are reporters, because the economic slowdown, interest rate you can not move, however, it must be held interest rates rise, asymmetric. The interest rate of non-symmetric key are compensating depositors interests while spreads will be affected, from the first half of the year, the Bank's profit is quite good, at the same time spreads, have the ability to digest this asymmetry rate hike. The same also holds fan army. He believes that China's largest bank owned properties that take the possibility of non-symmetric rate hike is very large, but because Swiss Watches would increase the Bank's own of capacity on the fluid of the financial system. Press notes that Central Bank Monetary Committee, David also supports non-symmetry point of view of the increasing interest. He pointed out in CCTV, now there are three things worthy of our attention, first of all, the current price levels are relatively high growth rates and moderate growth rates may be maintained for a long time, perhaps even 5-10 years is likely to be a 2%-3% of moderate inflation rate. Second, the current economic growth is good, not because any short-term policy adjustments arising from any fluctuations. Third the absolute level of liquidity is sufficient, according to the latest statistics, our broad money has been as high as $ 10 trillion, exceeded the United States, is the stock market is twice the amount of liquidity to support economic.
The current one-year time deposit rate 2.25%
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