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The New Structure Of Soybean Supply And Demand Is Expected To Ease Tensions - Soy - Food Industry

From the August 12 USDA report released time are only separated by one month Beans Market experienced a "down

?? Fast pull?? Collapse of the" three waves Quotes: First stage: In consideration of factors beans late may suffer early frost threat, the report pre-market release is also digested the profitable information. In August USDA report substantially lower U.S. soybean yields, but the weather forecast, U.S. weather, the main production areas of soybean favorable weather, and no early frost in the precursor, the United States began to decline in beans, 5 day down 11.82%. Second stage: In late August, the global economic data, good, strong crude oil and other neighboring markets, the U.S. soybean yield is also ignoring the fundamentals, rapid rebound, up 7.23% 3 trading days, then embarked on consolidation. Decline as the dollar index down, the market concluded that this phase of adjustment is defined as the long "air refueling," rose coming. Phase III: August 31 date, the surrounding environment has not shown signs of some callback, agricultural products, led return to fundamentals, as of now nine days, the United States decreased more than 10.71% beans, quick squeeze premium space . The market at this time there is no direction, all focused on September 11 night the Ministry of Agriculture report. Reports have been released now in September, from which we can see that this report, whether from the United States yields, production or inventories are close to market expectations in the new year tight soybean supply and demand situation eased.

Global oil crop yield in sight

USDA report in September on global demand and supply data were adjusted oil crops, in particular the supply of data has improved remarkably. Report is expected to 2009/2010 global oil production was 4.22 million tons, higher than in August increased by 19 million tons, compared with 28.4 million tons increase in production for 2008/2009, which important factors are the U.S., Brazil and other major soybean producing States soybean area generally increased, while good weather growing regions in North America, oil production by leaps and bounds. The report also correspondingly increase the world oil trade, from August's 91.11 million tons raised to 91.82 million tons, increased 710,000 tons. However, the report for the current economic situation is still a lack of confidence that the new annual global oil demand remains depressed state, will reduce demand for 1.15 million tons. As the increase in production while reducing the expected demand, in September the new year oil inventory report will be adjusted to 61.5 million tons, 180,000 tons increase over August.

World soybean ending stocks increase in new work


Compared to 2008/2009 soybean inventories at historically low consumption ratio, 2009/2010 annual global soybean supply and demand situation is relatively easy. 2008/2009 annual report in September will reduce 1.55 million tons in Brazil carryout, mainly due to the recent strike and other issues affecting Argentina, Brazil, added exports have increased; the same time carry-over stocks in China increased 730 thousand tons, mainly due to the recent domestic soybean throw Chu Liu Pai, most of the soybean or the final into 2008/2009 ending stocks. Because of these factors influence the report in September will be the beginning of the 2009/2010 global soybean stocks lower 780,000 tons; while soybean production for 2009/2010 increased from 1.87 to 243 million tons; will increase global trade 1.08 million tons, 290,000 tons increase in domestic crush. As production increased more than that can offset the demand of increase, the September report 2009/2010 soybean ending stocks will be adjusted to 52.53 million tons, an increase compared with 210,000 tons in August, compared with 2008/2009 also increased 10.21 million tons. Therefore, considering the global soybean supply and demand, new supply and demand for change for the better, soybean volatility is expected to slow down. For specific countries, we can see, the new U.S. soybean crop year increased by 125 tonnes to 88.32 million tons; Brazil increased output of 200 tons, to reach 62 million tons; Argentina, 51 million tons to maintain the same output. As the largest soybean demand countries, this report will be output from the country in August of 15.4 million tons down to 15 million tons, decreased by 40 million tons, mainly due to China's major soybean producing areas, the recent drought, the data compared with 2008 / 2009 the annual production of 1 million tons lower. But in September the report will still be our new annual soybean ending stocks increased to 7.59 million tons, an increase in August compared with 530,000 tons, mainly taking into account the huge national reserves and the annual purchase volume, and recent impact threw Chu Liu Pai .

by: gaga
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