What Difference Does a Top Jock Make to Winning Horse Racing systems

What Difference Does a Top Jock Make to Winning Horse Racing systems

Does a top rated jockey really make so much difference to the winning of a horse race, and how important is it to factor this in to horse racing systems? This article tackles these questions. For many, the jockey is the number one criteria, and they back the horse if their particular favourite jockey is on board. To me, this is a bad strategy, and more than often that not, results in a diminishing betting bank. Let us take a look at an example of some top rate jockeys and how you would have done in the betting if you would have backed those jockeys on every race: -YEAR 2010 Paul Hanagan 1029 Races Ran 18% Strike Rate -76.23 Points Profit Richard Hughes 913 Races Ran 18% Strike Rate -194.52 Points ProfitRyan Moore 682 Races Ran 18% Strike Rate -93.18 Points ProfitKieren Fallon 697 Races Ran 18% Strike Rate -53.51 Points ProfitFrankie Dettori 497 Races Ran 22% Strike Rate -79.06 Points ProfitAs you can see, these jockeys have amazing strike rates, and are indeed outstanding jockeys. So why then, if they are such outstanding jockeys, with such high strike rates are the betting profit results in the red so often? The answer to this question is undoubtedly that the general punting public back the horse so heavily that the price reduces far lower than what it should be. As a result, the bet is not a value bet, and therefore, the long term profit will be shown as a loss.What generally happens with the jockeys is that if any one of them has a good string of successes, they may get asked to ride for stables that have better horses. The jockey may then go on to get an even better strike rate. This gives a misleading view to the general punting public that the jockey is the contributing factor to the winning of the raceThe general punting public tend to over estimate the horses chance of success purely by the fact that it is being ridden by a top performing jockey. This kind of betting strategy is flawed, because the jockey only contributes a small percentage to the overall horse's chance of winning. For example, if you were to generalize a percentage comparison between the horse's contribution to winning the race and the jockey's percentage, we would see the following approximation: -80% - Horses ability wins the race and would have won the race no matter who the jockey was. 20% - The Horse won because of the contributing factor of the Jockey on boardFor horse racing systems then, the importance of the jockey is not so paramount, at least, not with trying to find a winner. It might be used as a factor to find value though. Most punters pile their bets on horse with the best jockey. As a result, quite often, the price drops below what would be considered a value back bet, in which case, we find a value lay bet. The purpose of this article is to help you consider your betting options rather than opting for what might seem a logical betting strategy. Winning at horse racing is not an easy thing to do. You might be lucky in the short term with any particular strategy, but in depth research is required, whether it is from any reliable horse racing systems, or from your own strategic system development.

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