Experts said the rise in domestic oil prices after two price adjustment period of 10 days reduced
Experts said the rise in domestic oil prices after two price adjustment period of 10 days reduced
Although the financial crisis continues to affect the world economy, however, the roller coaster market performance of international oil prices, is beginning a new "more Mountain" campaign.
March 4, subject to the impact of the euro higher against the dollar, the New York crude oil fell slightly, but still hovered at 80 US / barrel per down. The day before, the international oil price shot up to 80.87 U.S. dollars a barrel.
"The rise in oil prices was mainly due to a weaker dollar to stimulate the market's risk appetite for crude oil futures, as well as investors anticipated favorable economic recovery caused." Productivity in the distribution center business analyst Song Liang said that with the economy gradually pick up, especially in emerging economies accelerate economic trends, rising energy demand unavoidable. On the other hand, a lot of liquidity into the capital market, the factors that prompted speculation is increasing, thus pushing up oil prices.
Overall judgments, with the slow recovery in the global economy, international oil prices in 2010 up to volatility.
"International oil prices is likely to rush to 100 / barrel." Xiamen University, China Energy Economic Research Center director Lin Boqiang said that while a weaker dollar prompted oil prices higher, but the overall point of view, a weaker dollar is not the root cause of rising crude oil prices , the reason why the international crude oil rose more important, or demand factors.
Lin Boqiang said that although the global financial crisis still, but overall, the global economy pick up, "If the European economy is not any major problem, then oil prices will continue to rise this year, its price is likely rushed 100 U.S. dollars / barrel, then there may be a callback, but it will still be in the 80 U.S. dollars / barrel or more to run high. "
After the two oil price increases expected
There is no doubt that international crude oil prices will stimulate domestic oil prices.
"After two sessions, the domestic refined oil prices should rise immediately, should increase 4% -5% price increases in the 200 -300 yuan / barrel." Lin Boqiang analysis, oil prices had remained at 80 U.S. dollars has been a long top to bottom, the domestic product Oil prices force sufficient. Lin Boqiang also said that the coming oil price adjustment will be "moderate" impact on the economy is limited.
However, the 80 U.S. dollars / barrel of refined oil pricing mechanism is an important dividing line. The current price adjustment under the current policy, when international oil prices more than 80 U.S. dollars / barrel, the appropriate deduction processing margins begin until zero profits by processing pricing. When international oil prices above 130 U.S. dollars / barrel, according to both the producer, consumer interests and maintain the principles of stable operation, gasoline and diesel prices raised in principle to mention or less.
So, if international oil prices above 80 U.S. dollars / barrel, the oil company subsidies, or subsidies to consumers, this is a big exam.
Or reduced price adjustment period of 10 days
Although the current oil price adjustment mechanism for refined oil in China, "with international standards, rationalize the price system," played an important role, but there are still many obvious flaws: in 2009 the implementation of the new oil pricing mechanism since the style of the domestic refined oil prices 8, however, price adjustment in the 8, only two dropped prices and changes in international oil prices equivalent to 3 times price adjustment and reverse to the trend in international oil prices, and in the implementation process, there is price adjustment in place, and lag issues .
In response, National People's Congress, China's Sinopec (600028) Li-Guo Chen, general manager of Jiangxi Province proposed oil division to further improve the oil pricing mechanism, price adjustment provisions of the existing mechanism to shorten the time interval to 10 days, to a certain range of price adjustment decentralized oil companies appropriately increasing the country standard gasoline prices gasoline prices to compensate for the increase in corporate investment due to cost pressures.
Guo Chen said that as the oil price formula for transparent, adjusting period is too long, the market price adjustment is expected to dominance, market speculation created the conditions often lead to price increases before the hoard, sell before the price reduction phenomenon. Guo Chen believes that the price adjustment to achieve a "small step Run", both to avoid excessive speculation in the market, you can also make domestic oil prices closer to market, solve the price adjustment lag, help reduce market risk-free opportunities for speculation.
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Experts said the rise in domestic oil prices after two price adjustment period of 10 days reduced Ann Arbor